Applying Classification and Regression Trees to manage financial risk

dc.contributor.advisorScott, James Gordonen
dc.contributor.committeeMemberCarvalho, Carlos M.en
dc.contributor.committeeMemberMarti, Nathan C.en
dc.creatorMartin, Stephen Fredricken
dc.date.accessioned2012-08-16T14:46:20Zen
dc.date.accessioned2017-05-11T22:27:02Z
dc.date.available2012-08-16T14:46:20Zen
dc.date.available2017-05-11T22:27:02Z
dc.date.issued2012-05en
dc.date.submittedMay 2012en
dc.date.updated2012-08-16T14:46:30Zen
dc.descriptiontexten
dc.description.abstractThis goal of this project is to develop a set of business rules to mitigate risk related to a specific financial decision within the prepaid debit card industry. Under certain circumstances issuers of prepaid debit cards may need to decide if funds on hold can be released early for use by card holders prior to the final transaction settlement. After a brief introduction to the prepaid card industry and the financial risk associated with the early release of funds on hold, the paper presents the motivation to apply the CART (Classification and Regression Trees) method. The paper provides a tutorial of the CART algorithms formally developed by Breiman, Friedman, Olshen and Stone in the monograph Classification and Regression Trees (1984), as well as, a detailed explanation of the R programming code to implement the RPART function. (Therneau 2010) Special attention is given to parameter selection and the process of finding an optimal solution that balances complexity against predictive classification accuracy when measured against an independent data set through a cross validation process. Lastly, the paper presents an analysis of the financial risk mitigation based on the resulting business rules.en
dc.description.departmentMathematicsen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.slug2152/ETD-UT-2012-05-5428en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2152/ETD-UT-2012-05-5428en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.subjectCARTen
dc.subjectClassification and Regression Treesen
dc.subjectBreimanen
dc.subjectRisken
dc.subjectPrepaiden
dc.subjectDebit cardsen
dc.subjectRollbacken
dc.subjectRen
dc.subjectRPARTen
dc.subjectCross validationen
dc.titleApplying Classification and Regression Trees to manage financial risken
dc.type.genrethesisen

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