Browsing by Subject "Tunnel engineering"
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Item Groundwater inflow into rock tunnels(2010-08) Chen, Ran; Tonon, Fulvio; Rathje, Ellen; Eichhubl, Peter; Sharp, John M.; Zornberg, Jorge G.Prediction of groundwater inflow into rock tunnels is one of the essential tasks of tunnel engineering. Currently, most of the methods used in the industry are typically based on continuum models, whether analytical, semi-empirical, or numerical. As a consequence, a regular flow along the tunnel is commonly predicted. There are also some discrete fracture network methods based on a discontinous model, which typically yield regular flow or random flow along the tunnel. However, it was observed that, in hard rock tunnels, flow usually concentrates in some areas, and much of the tunnel is dry. The reason is that, in hard rock, most of the water flows in rock fractures and fractures typically occur in a clustered pattern rather than in a regular or random pattern. A new method is developed in this work, which can model the fracture clustering and reproduce the flow concentration. After elaborate literature review, a new algorithm is developed to simulate fractures with clustering properties by using geostatistics. Then, a discrete fracture network is built and simplified. In order to solve the flow problem in the discrete fracture network, an existing analytical-numercial method is improved. Two case studies illustrate the procedure of fracture simulation. Several ideal tunnel cases and one real tunnel project are used to validate the flow analysis. It is found that fracture clustering can be modeled and flow concentration can be reproduced by using the proposed technique.Item Risk analysis in tunneling with imprecise probabilities(2010-08) You, Xiaomin; Tonon, Fulvio; Rathje, Ellen M.; Gilbert, Robert B.; Manuel, Lance; Smirnoff, Timothy P.Due to the inherent uncertainties in ground and groundwater conditions, tunnel projects often have to face potential risks of cost overrun or schedule delay. Risk analysis has become a required tool (by insurers, Federal Transit Administration, etc.) to identify and quantify risk, as well as visualize causes and effects, and the course (chain) of events. Various efforts have been made to risk assessment and analysis by using conventional methodologies with precise probabilities. However, because of limited information or experience in similar tunnel projects, available evidence in risk assessment and analysis usually relies on judgments from experienced engineers and experts. As a result, imprecision is involved in probability evaluations. The intention of this study is to explore the use of the theory of imprecise probability as applied to risk analysis in tunneling. The goal of the methodologies proposed in this study is to deal with imprecise information without forcing the experts to commit to assessments that they do not feel comfortable with or the analyst to pick a single distribution when the available data does not warrant such precision. After a brief introduction to the theory of imprecise probability, different types of interaction between variables are studied, including unknown interaction, different types of independence, and correlated variables. Various algorithms aiming at achieving upper and lower bounds on previsions and conditional probabilities with assumed interaction type are proposed. Then, methodologies have been developed for risk registers, event trees, fault trees, and decision trees, i.e. the standard tools in risk assessment for underground projects. Corresponding algorithms are developed and illustrated by examples. Finally, several case histories of risk analysis in tunneling are revisited by using the methodologies developed in this study. All results obtained based on imprecise probabilities are compared with the results from precise probabilities.