Browsing by Subject "Longitudinal data analysis"
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Item Longitudinal analysis on AQI in 3 main economic zones of China(2014-05) Wu, Kailin; Powers, Daniel A.In modern China, air pollution has become an essential environmental problem. Over the last 2 years, the air pollution problem, as measured by PM 2.5 (particulate matter) is getting worse. My report aims to carry out a longitudinal data analysis of the air quality index (AQI) in 3 main economic zones in China. Longitudinal data, or repeated measures data, can be viewed as multilevel data with repeated measurements nested within individuals. I arrive at some conclusions about why the 3 areas have different AQI, mainly attributed to factors like population, GDP, temperature, humidity, and other factors like whether the area is inland or by the sea. The residual variance is partitioned into a between-zone component (the variance of the zone-level residuals) and a within-zone component (the variance of the city-level residuals). The zone residuals represent unobserved zone characteristics that affect AQI. In this report, the model building is mainly according to the sequence described by West et al (2007) with respect to the bottom-up procedures and the reference by Singer, J. D., & Willett, J. B (2003) which includes the non-linear situations. This report also compares the quartic curve model with piecewise growth model with respect to this data. The final model I reached is a piece wise model with time-level and zone-level predictors and also with temperature by time interactions.Item Model Specification Searches in Latent Growth Modeling: A Monte Carlo Study(2012-07-16) Kim, Min JungThis dissertation investigated the optimal strategy for the model specification search in the latent growth modeling. Although developing an initial model based on the theory from prior research is favored, sometimes researchers may need to specify the starting model in the absence of theory. In this simulation study, the effectiveness of the start models in searching for the true population model was examined. The four possible start models adopted in this study were: the simplest mean and covariance structure model, the simplest mean and the most complex covariance structure model, the most complex mean and the simplest covariance structure model, and the most complex mean and covariance structure model. Six model selection criteria were used to determine the recovery of the true model: Likelihood ratio test (LRT), DeltaCFI, DeltaRMSEA, DeltaSRMR, DeltaAIC, and DeltaBIC. The results showed that specifying the most complex covariance structure (UN) with the most complex mean structure recovered the true mean trajectory most successfully with the average hit rate above 90% using the DeltaCFI, DeltaBIC, DeltaAIC, and DeltaSRMR. In searching for the true covariance structure, LRT, DeltaCFI, DeltaAIC, and DeltaBIC performed successfully regardless of the searching method with different start models.