Essays on pricing and portfolio choice in incomplete markets

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2008-12

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This dissertation is a contribution to the pricing and portfolio choice theory in incomplete markets. It consists of three self-contained but interlinked essays. In the first essay, we present a utility-based methodology for the valuation and the risk management of mortgage-backed securities subject to totally unpredictable prepayment risk. Incompleteness stems from its embedded pre-payment option which affects the security's cash flow pattern. The prepayment time is constructed via deterministic or stochastic hazard rate. The relevant indifference price consists of a linear term, corresponding to the remaining outstanding balance, and a nonlinear one that incorporates the investor's risk aversion and the interest payments generated by the mortgage contract. The indifference valuation approach is also extended to the case of homogeneous mortgage pools. In the second essay, using forward optimality criteria, we analyze a portfolio choice problem when the local risk tolerance is time-dependent and asymptotically linear in wealth. This class corresponds to a dynamic extension of the traditional (static) risk tolerances associated with the power, logarithmic and exponential utilities. We provide explicit solutions for the optimal investment strategies and wealth processes in an incomplete non-Markovian market with asset prices modelled as Ito processes. The methodology allows for measuring the investment performance in terms of a benchmark and alter-native market views. In the last essay, we extend the forward investment performance approach to study the optimal portfolio choice problem in an incomplete market driven by jump processes. The asset price is modelled by a one-dimensional Lévy-Itô process. We prove the existence of a forward performance process by restricting the local risk tolerance functions to be time-independent and linear in wealth. This yields only three types of performance measurement criteria, namely, exponential, power and logarithmic. The optimal portfolios are constructed via stochastic feedback controls under these criteria.

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